Potential trade plan · XAU/USD · Long · H1
CONFLUENCE · INDICATIVESTRONG · 5 of 7
XAU/USD · H1 · live price · your levels overlaid
YOUR ENTRY4,186.3 ✎
YOUR STOP4,169.0 ✎
YOUR TARGET4,219.0 ✎
REWARD : RISK1.9 : 1
The idea weakens if: an H1 candle closes back below 4,172 — the reclaim would have failed.
HISTORICAL CONTEXTSimilar sweep-and-reclaim longs on Gold H1, with H4 and D1 aligned, reached a comparable target first 58% of the time (baseline 47%, 212 instances). Past behaviour, not a forecast.
What agrees · what to watch
DirectionH1, H4 and D1 aligned up
LocationReclaimed liquidity zone 4,172–4,177
Room2.1 ATR to the next zone above
MacroUSD bearish on rates — supports gold
PostureNORMAL · standard conditions
!ExposureAdds to commodity risk — oil short partly offsets
!EventsUS ISM in 3h — worth factoring into timing
Position size calculator
Your account size$172,453 ✎
Your risk per trade1.50% ✎
Risk amount$2,587
Stop distance (from your levels)17.3 pts
Potential posture multiplier1.00x
Indicative size at your risk1.49 lots